Australian farmland recorded 6,988 transactions across 2025/26, a modest 2.8 per cent decline on the previous year and the third consecutive year in which national sales have held close to the 7,000 mark. While this remains a third below the 2021/22 peak of more than 10,500 sales, the consistency of activity over the past three years points to a market that has found its level, with land tightly held and owners largely choosing to sell on their own terms rather than under pressure.

New South Wales continued to lead activity with 2,631 sales, or 37.7 per cent of the national total, followed by Queensland with 1,772. Western Australia was the only state to lift volumes, rising 12.1 per cent to 778 sales, while Victoria (1,157) and South Australia (536) both recorded their lowest annual totals in more than 15 years. Tasmania saw the sharpest pullback, with sales falling by a third to just 114, the lowest result in the series, meaning values in the island state are now being set by a very small number of transactions.

On values, the year belonged to Western Australia and Queensland. Western Australia lifted 13.5 per cent to $8,567/ha, while Queensland rose 12.3 per cent to $9,891/ha, supported by strong cattle prices which have kept cash flow healthy for grazing businesses and sustained demand for well-watered country. Over the past five years both states have close to doubled in value, with Western Australia up 96.6 per cent and Queensland up 89.3 per cent, outpacing every other state.

Victoria remains the highest priced mainland state at $15,577/ha, up 3.8 per cent over the year, as a turnaround in seasonal conditions and strong rainfall across much of the south lifted confidence after successive dry years. South Australia benefited from the same change in fortunes, edging 1.4 per cent higher to $9,757/ha as growers positioned for a strong winter crop.

New South Wales eased 2.4 per cent to $9,964/ha, its first annual decline since 2013/14. Dry conditions across the north of the state, rising input costs and a widening gap between vendor and buyer expectations have seen properties remain on the market for longer. As a result, New South Wales, Queensland and South Australia now sit within $210/ha of each other, all close to the $10,000/ha mark. Over the longer term, however, New South Wales has still delivered the strongest growth of any state, with values almost quadrupling since 2011/12.

Tasmania, still home to the country’s most expensive farmland at $24,684/ha, fell 6.4 per cent and now sits 10.7 per cent below its 2023/24 peak. Dry conditions and buyer caution have weighed on activity, while vendors anchored to peak values have been slow to adjust, although the small number of sales means movements in the median may be more irregular.

Across the country, quality continues to drive results. Blue chip holdings and neighbouring parcels are still attracting strong competition and commanding a premium, while secondary and marginal country is taking longer to sell. Higher interest rates given the Reserve Bank’s four consecutive rises this year, fuel and fertiliser costs lifted by conflict in the Middle East and uncertainty around capital gains tax reform have made it harder for many farm businesses to justify another purchase at current values. Leasing and share farming are increasingly being used to build scale and many producers are prioritising on-farm investment in water, fencing and productivity over expansion.

Livestock remains the standout support for the sector, with elevated cattle and sheep prices underpinning grazing land values across much of the country, while the grain price outlook has improved through spring.

Looking ahead, values are expected to continue lifting through the remainder of 2026 as harvest cash flow flows through to the southern cropping states and livestock markets remain firm. The outlook into 2027 is more measured, with El Niño conditions raising the likelihood of a drier season across agricultural regions and further rate rises possible. For buyers and sellers alike, the market is likely to remain selective, rewarding quality, location and water security over broad-based growth.

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